gummy-stuff.org Markets as machinery · and the arithmetic underneath

The complete roster

Register of entries

Everything on this site, in section order. 28 entries across 8 sections, with no dates on any of them.

01 · The Certificate

EntryWhat it describesLength
01 · 1What a certificate isAn engraved share certificate is a receipt for a claim: a stated fraction of a company, with a right to vote and a right to whatever is left after everybody else is paid. The engraving, the seal and the counterfoil are all anti-forgery engineering, and the document itself has now almost entirely disappeared into a register entry.long
01 · 2Bearer and registeredWhether the paper itself is the claim, or merely evidence of an entry elsewhere.medium
01 · 3The counterfoilThe stub that stays in the book, and the audit trail it creates.short
01 · 4DematerialisationThe paper leaves and the register remains.short

02 · The Book

EntryWhat it describesLength
02 · 1Bid and askTwo queues facing each other. The gap between the best of each is the spread, and it is the cost of immediacy.medium
02 · 2Matching rulesPrice first, then time. Simple to state, and it determines who trades.medium
02 · 3DepthWhat sits behind the best price, and why size moves it.short
02 · 4The empty sideWhat happens when nobody is willing to take the other end.short

03 · The Room

EntryWhat it describesLength
03 · 1Every trade had an addressOpen-outcry floors were organised spatially: a pit for each instrument, and position in it mattered.medium
03 · 2Hand signalsA working sign language developed because shouting did not scale.short
03 · 3The room emptiesElectronic matching removed the floor and kept the vocabulary.short

04 · Clearing & Settlement

EntryWhat it describesLength
04 · 1Why settlement takes daysBetween agreeing a trade and exchanging cash for title there is netting, confirmation and delivery. The delay is administrative history, not physics.medium
04 · 2The central counterpartyAn institution that stands between both sides so neither has to trust the other.medium
04 · 3NettingThousands of obligations collapsed into a few payments.short
04 · 4Failure to deliverWhat the plumbing does when something does not arrive.short

05 · The Index

EntryWhat it describesLength
05 · 1What an index isA rule for selecting members and a rule for weighting them. Both are choices, and both change what the number reports.medium
05 · 2WeightingBy price, by size, or equally — three indices of the same market that disagree.medium
05 · 3SurvivorshipMembers leave when they fail, and the record keeps only those who stayed.short

06 · Compounding

EntryWhat it describesLength
06 · 1Multiply, do not addGrowth compounds as a product of factors, not a sum of percentages, which is why intuition about it is reliably wrong.medium
06 · 2The mean of factorsThe average that describes compound growth is geometric, and it is always lower than the arithmetic one.medium
06 · 3A fall needs a bigger riseDown a half, then up a half, leaves you down a quarter.short

07 · Average & Median

EntryWhat it describesLength
07 · 1An average is not an outcomeIn a skewed distribution most results sit below the mean, so the average describes almost nobody.medium
07 · 2The long tailA few very large values dragging a mean away from the middle.short
07 · 3DispersionThe spread is the information the average threw away.short

08 · Manias

EntryWhat it describesLength
08 · 1Tulips, as recordedWhat the contemporary records actually show about the Dutch bulb trade, which is narrower and stranger than the popular account.medium
08 · 2The railway boomEnormous capital raised for lines that were built, plus lines that were not.medium
08 · 3The South Sea affairA debt conversion scheme wrapped in a trading monopoly, and the legislation that followed it.medium
08 · 4What the accounts recordWhere the surviving numbers come from, and their limits.short